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Trust Olson to mow down lowly Marlins at home

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Another day, another jam-packed slate of MLB games. Let's take a closer look at a few of my preferred ways to attack it.

Reese Olson: Over 17.5 outs

Olson is pitching extremely well this season. He's allowed two runs or fewer in six of seven starts, including five straight. Those are impressive numbers considering he's faced the Rangers, Yankees, and Twins in that span.

Although he's been a mixed bag in terms of going over his total, Olson is averaging 17 outs this season. He's routinely flirting with this number despite a very stiff opposing schedule.

Tuesday looks like a great spot for Olson to give the Tigers some length. The Marlins sit 27th in runs per game and 29th in OBP. They don't get on base, nor do they hit for power.

Olson's averaged 20 outs per contest when pitching at home this season. I wouldn't be surprised if he hovers around that number again versus one of the league's worst offenses.

Odds: -110 (playable to -130)

Logan Gilbert: Under 1.5 walks

Gilbert's walk total has been one of my favorite props to target for the better part of two years. He has great control of the strike zone and rarely hands out free passes. In fact, he's only walked multiple batters in 10 of his past 30 starts.

He walked two batters or more in back-to-back games only once in that span, which just so happens to be over his last two starts.

The Royals should afford Gilbert a great opportunity to get back on track. They've walked in only 5.8% of their at-bats against right-handed pitchers this month. That's the second-lowest rate in the majors, ranking them ahead of only the lowly White Sox.

Kansas City has a swing-first approach at the dish and owns the third-highest contact rate against righties in May.

Given how effective Gilbert is at keeping the ball in the zone, and the Royals' tendency to swing, he should be able to regain his control in this one.

Odds: -130 (playable to -145)

JP Sears: Under 17.5 outs

The Astros appear to be turning a corner - at least offensively. They posted a .324 OBP in May (sixth highest) while striking out only 17.4% of the time. That's the lowest mark in the league.

Their numbers are even more impressive considering the caliber of pitchers they've faced this month. Houston has faced Gilbert, George Kirby, Bryce Miller, Tarik Skubal, Jack Flaherty, and Carlos Rodón, among others, over the past two weeks alone.

I think Sears will have trouble slowing the Astros down. He's sporting a concerning .369 xwOBA versus righties over his past four starts, and Houston is expected to have six of them in its lineup. The Astros also feature left-handed monsters like Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker. Whether Sears' splits are better against lefties or not, he'll have a tough time with those stars.

Sears has gone under this number in 18 of his past 30 starts. With the Athletics' bullpen in pretty good shape, I don't see Sears completing six innings in this one.

Odds: -115 (playable to -130)

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.

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