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NFL Week 10 trend plays: Fade Niners as big chalk

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We're back to highlight the best betting trends and angles. Last week, the Colts shanked away their chance at winning, though the other three trend-friendly teams took care of business, including two outright wins for underdogs.

Here are some of the notable trends to watch in Week 10.

(Trends are from Sports Database unless otherwise noted.)

Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland Raiders

Line: Chargers -1

The Chargers likely aren't moving to London anytime soon, but they've found a new home in Oakland, where they're 2-0 against the spread under Anthony Lynn with a 4-0 ATS record overall vs. the Raiders heading into Thursday. The Bolts are 6-1-1 ATS (85.7%) as road favorites and 4-1-1 ATS (80%) in divisional road games since Lynn took over in 2017.

Trend play: Chargers -1

Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns

Line: Browns -2.5

The 6-2 Bills head into Cleveland this week as underdogs against the 2-6 Browns. Do bookmakers know something we don't? Since 1989, teams with at least a .750 winning percentage vs. clubs posting a .250 or worse are 3-10 ATS (23.1%), including three straight losses dating back to 2011. It's a rare spot, but it doesn't bode well for the Bills to be getting points here.

Trend play: Browns -2.5

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints

Line: Saints -12.5

The Saints looked sharp as ever in their win over Arizona before a bye last week, and they're massive favorites against hapless Atlanta. Head coach Sean Payton is 8-2 ATS (80%) in his last 10 games when giving more than 10 points, and he's covered 10 of his last 12 games with extra time to prepare during a bye week. Conversely, Falcons head coach Dan Quinn has lost five straight ATS as a road dog.

Trend play: Saints -12.5

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers

Line: 49ers -6.5

The Niners are for real, and that debate is over. But they might be a shaky bet as a big home favorite on Monday. Since 2007, undefeated teams in Week 10 or later are 7-14 ATS (33.3%). Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll is also 4-0-1 ATS in his last five contests as a road 'dog, and 8-1 ATS (88.9%) in his last nine getting six-plus points.

Trend play: Seahawks +6.5

C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.

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