NFL Week 3 player props: 11 bets to get you through Sunday

Icon Sportswire / Getty

If your fantasy team is 0-2 and decimated by injuries like mine, at least you have betting.

Here are the players to back or fade in Week 3.

T.J. Hockenson under 62.5 receiving yards

The Ravens faced Darren Waller and Travis Kelce in the first two weeks, so they're familiar with offenses featuring great tight ends. While those guys had big games, what gives me pause for a third is the Ravens' ability to shut down Tyreek Hill last week. He's not a tight end, but it showed that John Harbaugh's group can create a scheme to blanket a singular threat. Since the Lions don't have an outside alternative to Hockenson, he'll be the focal point in the defensive game plan.

Mark Andrews TD +150

A rare double-prop game! Mark Andrews has been quiet this season, but the Lions' defense should provide him the opportunity to have a big performance. I'll take him to score at better-than-even money.

Kyle Pitts over 52.5 receiving yards

Pitts hit his over comfortably last week to give us a season split backing the Falcons' No. 4 pick. The market hasn't made the adjustment we expected, so we're back on Pitts against the Giants. With James Bradberry on Calvin Ridley, Pitts steps up.

Jameis Winston under 217.5 passing yards

Win or lose, Winston has gone under this season. The game script in Week 1 suggested the Saints just run the ball on the Packers before, during, and after they took a big lead. Last week, we correctly surmised Winston would be playing from behind and thus throwing often; he still went way under.

A.J. Brown over 78.5 receiving yards

Call it a square play here, but we're two weeks into the season without Brown getting loose in a secondary. He and Titans compadre Julio Jones had some drops against the Seahawks, so they'll both be locked in against the division rival Colts, who can't cover to save their lives. Brown has a big game here.

Devin Singletary under 49.5 rushing yards

We nailed Josh Allen's interception prop last week after some inaccuracies flared up in Week 1. The good news is the Bills quarterback has a matchup with Washington's secondary, which gave Daniel Jones more than enough opportunities to be accurate. Brian Daboll will understand that and give Allen all the chances to get right, which means less action in the run game for Singletary, who got 13 carries after an early lead last week.

Patrick Mahomes under 306.5 passing yards

Here's a fun one. Normally, when you dare fade Mahomes, you might as well lock yourself in a closet and assume the fetal position. However, the only time the Chiefs superstar has thrown for over 300 yards against the Chargers was in last season's overtime win. Despite Mahomes' 4-1 record against the Chargers, they'll slow down the 2019 MVP.

Corey Davis under 42.5 receiving yards

We called Davis being shut down last week by Bill Belichick's scheme, and that worked out pretty well for the Patriots. Now, with tape on how to stop the Jets' top weapon, the Broncos' secondary is more than capable of following the same script. Davis won't get off the tarmac.

Mike Gesicki over 24.5 receiving yards

Jacoby Brissett was armed with a handful of tight ends during his time with the Colts. As the Dolphins set up a game plan around their backup this week, there will be some easy throws to a big target, which will be a boon for Gesicki's stats.

DK Metcalf over 76.5 receiving yards

This is pretty much the same handicap as it was for A.J. Brown. We haven't had the "My lord, Metcalf is a stud" game yet. Now, he's got a matchup with the Vikings' secondary, which had minimal answers for the Cardinals' outside talent. He catches a deep one on the way to a big day.

Matthew Stafford over 310.5 passing yards

I couldn't choose between Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods overs, so in a way, I'm taking both. The two combined for a ridiculous 23 catches and 275 yards in last year's visit to the Buccaneers. Now, they're at home in what should be a back-and-forth game against a team you simply cannot run on. Stafford will be slinging it.

Matt Russell is a betting writer for theScore. If there’s a bad beat to be had, Matt will find it. Find him on Twitter @mrussauthentic.

Comments
NFL Week 3 player props: 11 bets to get you through Sunday
  Got something to say? Leave a comment below!

Daily Newsletter

Get the latest trending sports news daily in your inbox