Guerrero's Blue Jays franchise rankings and where he could finish

The Toronto Blue Jays reportedly signed first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to a life-changing 14-year, $500-million contract Sunday, ensuring the slugger stays with the organization until he's 40.

With Guerrero now likely to play his entire career with the Blue Jays, let's look at where he ranks in some of the franchise's most important categories and see if he can end up on top of the leaderboards as his career progresses.

Guerrero has played 829 games, ranking 23rd on the Blue Jays' all-time list. The 26-year-old has been one of the most durable players in baseball since 2020, appearing in 706 contests, which places him third behind Matt Olson and Marcus Semien. Guerrero needs to average only 45 games per season over the life of his deal to become the franchise's leader in games played. He could move within the top five in the next three years.

Guerrero ranks eighth all-time in homers, but he has a hill to climb to pass Delgado. He'll need to average 30 homers over the next six seasons if he wishes to take over the top spot in his early 30s. Steamer projects Guerrero to hit 29 round-trippers in 2025, which means he could become the franchise home-run leader at age 33 if he can meet those projections year-to-year.

Guerrero's reputation is as a power hitter, but let's not forget he possesses fantastic bat-to-ball skills. Not counting his rookie year or the 2020 season, he's never had less than 159 hits in a campaign. Guerrero recorded his highest total last season with 199. He needs 48 hits a season over 14 years to claim the No. 1 spot from Fernandez, but averaging 134 hits per year over the next five campaigns will also get the job done.

Reaching the top of the Blue Jays' leaderboards in RBIs feels very doable for Guerrero, one of baseball's best run producers of this decade. Since the beginning of 2020, Guerrero's 442 RBIs rank seventh in MLB. He'd need to maintain his status as a 90-100 RBI player over the next six years to take over first while in his prime.

The top of the fWAR leaderboard could be Guerrero's toughest task because his defense will be a factor. The first baseman has never posted a positive FanGraphs defensive rating in his career, even during his Gold Glove season. As a result, his fWAR reached a high of 6.3 in 2021 but dipped to a low of 1.3 in 2023. Guerrero has 14 years to accrue more than 19 fWAR, which is doable as long as he remains a winnable player during the latter stages of his career.

Guerrero isn't known for his run-scoring abilities, but he's still a top-20 player in the category since debuting in 2019. He should steadily climb the leaderboard if he continues to reach his projections of around 90 runs per season, potentially taking over the top spot in five years.

This one feels in the bag for Guerrero. Since 2021, he ranks seventh in MLB with 141 doubles, with 44 of them coming last season when he finished fourth in baseball in the category. Guerrero needs 12 doubles per season until his age-40 campaign to pass Delgado. He's already hit three through 10 games in 2025.