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Two of the biggest public favorites of the week are playing on Monday night, with the Pittsburgh Steelers (-6, 46.5) facing the New York Giants and the Tennessee Titans (-3, 41) taking on the Denver Broncos.
Here are our favorite trends, props, and bets for Monday night's doubleheader.
It's hard to decide which team is more fade-worthy in the first game of Monday's slate. The Steelers are 1-8 against the spread in their last nine season openers while the Giants stand at 2-7 ATS in that span. Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last six as road chalk, and New York is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 catching points at home.
The trend fitting both teams here is the under. The Steelers are a ridiculous 26-5-1 to the under in their last 32 games as the road team and 6-0 to the under in their last six games under the lights. The Giants are also 7-4 to the under in their last 11 as home 'dogs with an 11-5 under run in prime-time games.
In the second leg of the doubleheader, things are much more favorable for the road favorite. The Titans have covered seven of their last eight games on Monday night and are 13-6 ATS in that spot since moving to Tennessee in 1999. They're also 7-3 ATS in the regular season since Ryan Tannehill took over as the starter.
Diontae Johnson over 47.5 receiving yards
Johnson, a rising star in this league, is primed for a big performance on Monday night. The Steelers receiver recorded at least 54 receiving yards in each of his final four games as a rookie, and that was with Mason Rudolph and Devlin Hodges throwing him the ball.
This week, he'll be catching passes from Ben Roethlisberger against a thin and vulnerable Giants secondary possessing two effective corners and not much else. If Pittsburgh treats Johnson as a No. 3 WR like it did last year, he could be in for a monster game.
Ryan Tannehill over 222.5 passing yards
I'll keep preaching about Tannehill until I'm blue in the face. The Titans quarterback averaged 259.8 yards in 10 starts last year with at least 250 yards in six of those contests, and he went 13-for-16 for 144 passing yards in less than a half versus Denver.
The Broncos' secondary is worse this season than it was a year ago, and that's to say nothing of losing star pass-rusher Von Miller. When Tannehill has time in the pocket, he shreds defenses apart. Expect more of the same on Monday.
Giants under 19.5 points
Questions still surround the Steelers' offense and both sides of the ball for the Giants. The only thing bettors can reasonably count on is Pittsburgh's defense, which held five of its final six opponents under 20 points in 2019. Given Pittsburgh's propensity for low-scoring games in this spot, fading New York's offense is the easy play.
In the nightcap, the Titans are an easy play. Their offense returns nearly every key piece from a quietly elite unit in 2019, and their defense is on par with the Broncos' after adding Jadeveon Clowney and watching Miller go down for Denver. Sometimes the public play is the right one, so don't overthink it.
C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.