Back Suárez to continue dominance against Mets
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We put together a winning card Tuesday night, going 2-1 with our best bets. Logan Gilbert spoiled what was close to a sweep, walking multiple batters despite sitting at zero into the fifth inning.
Let's take a look at three more plays as we look to keep the ball rolling in the right direction.
Ranger Suárez: Under 5.5 hits allowed
Suárez has been one of the league's best pitchers this season. He owns a 7-0 record, 1.50 ERA, and 0.72 WHIP, and he averages more than a strikeout per inning.
Suárez has allowed just 3.9 hits per start and has gone under this total in six of eight games.
He's mowing teams down every time out, and that should continue against the Mets. They've had a miserable time generating offense versus left-handed pitchers, especially recently.
New York ranks dead last with a .173 batting average against lefties over the last month. Only two other teams sit below .200.
The Mets' projected lineup features a lot of right-handed bats. Suárez has posted a .256 xwOBA versus righties this season while inducing grounders at a sky-high rate of 52%.
He should have little trouble putting together another strong performance.
Odds: -115 (playable to -135)
Taj Bradley: Over 15.5 outs
Bradley made his first start of the season Friday against the Yankees, and it was a good one. He completed six innings and conceded only one run along the way. That's tidy work versus one of the league's best offenses.
Importantly, there was no sign of a short leash. Bradley faced 24 batters and threw 93 pitches, getting a full workload in his return to action.
The Rays are going to need that from Bradley again Wednesday night. They used six relievers while playing in a 12-inning marathon Tuesday. It was a very taxing game on their bullpen, and they'll need to preserve it considering their next day off is late next week.
The Red Sox are a potent offensive team, but five of the past seven righties they've faced have recorded 16-plus outs. Given the state of Tampa Bay's bullpen, the Rays will give Bradley every chance to surpass that mark.
Odds: -115 (playable to -140)
Jon Gray: Under 2.5 earned runs
Gray conceded four runs in his first start of the season, which came against a lethal Cubs offense out of the gate. He's since allowed two or fewer runs in eight consecutive games.
Gray allowed just seven runs in total spanning eight games, only once even allowing two.
I like his chances of continued success against the Guardians. They rank 27th in batting average versus righties in May and are a subpar team in drawing walks.
Nine of the past 12 right-handed pitchers the Guardians have faced have allowed two runs or fewer. The exceptions were Jack Leiter, Michael Soroka, and Kenta Maeda, which isn't exactly a strong cast of characters.
The Rangers have used more than two relievers in only one of the past three games. Their bullpen is in pretty good shape, and they're off Thursday, so they won't push Gray to pitch extremely deep into the game if he begins to show warning signs.
Look for him to extend his under streak to nine in a row.
Odds: -115 (playable to -130)
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.