NFL win totals: Over/under bets for all 32 teams
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Normally, we'd have to wait much longer for NFL win totals to dominate the market, but in this sports-less world, we can bet on the 2020 season just days after the first rush of free agency.
With these early lines come some serious value on teams that are still taking shape or that bettors might not have caught up to. Here's our current lean on all 32 franchises using over/under lines from theScore Bet:
Atlanta Falcons under 7.5
I'm not buying Atlanta's offensive makeover being the antidote to its woefully undermanned defense. Here comes another 7-9 season.
Arizona Cardinals under 7
I love the DeAndre Hopkins trade as much as the next guy. But until the Cardinals fix their defense or O-line, I'm not betting on a .500 campaign.
Baltimore Ravens over 11.5
The Ravens are projected to face the easiest schedule in the league, and all the core pieces are back to avenge 2019's early exit.
Buffalo Bills over 8.5
Buffalo is returning 21 of 22 starters and added a much-needed star receiver in Stefon Diggs amid a wide-open division. This is my favorite win total of them all.
Carolina Panthers over 5.5
The defense took some major losses, but Carolina's offense is still as stocked as any under a savvy coaching staff. We're leaning over - by a hair.
Chicago Bears under 8
We all know about Chicago's issues on offense, but are we sure the defense is still up for the task? A quarterback competition between mediocre options doesn't inspire confidence, either.
Cincinnati Bengals under 5.5
It's not hard to see the Bengals climbing out of the cellar with Joe Burrow and splashy free-agent additions, but 5.5 is still a high bar to climb. We're going with a tentative fade here.
Cleveland Browns over 8.5
If I could pass the Browns into oblivion, I would. If forced to choose, though, I have faith that the new coaching staff can turn Baker Mayfield's play around with the help of a soft schedule.
Dallas Cowboys over 9.5
The Cowboys won eight games last year but were a top team by nearly any advanced metric. With a cupcake schedule this season, they should hit the over.
Denver Broncos over 7.5
I love what the Broncos are doing as they build around Drew Lock, who's the X-factor in this pick. if you believe in him - as Denver does - this is an easy over.
Detroit Lions over 6.5
The Lions were aggressive in free agency, and there's a path to NFC North contention after a puzzling offseason by the other three teams.
Green Bay Packers under 9
Few teams are stronger regression candidates, and that was already true before Green Bay's lackluster offseason. I'm all out.
Houston Texans under 7.5
Last year's team was a bit worse than its record ... and then free agency happened. Houston is the third-best squad in its division, which makes eight wins a tough sell.
Indianapolis Colts over 8.5
The Colts were big winners this offseason, filling major needs on a roster that was already set for contention. Hitting double-digit victories is in play.
Jacksonville Jaguars under 5
What exactly is the Jaguars' plan? After shipping out key starters in exchange for scraps, it's hard to expect a winning culture to manifest in 2020.
Kansas City Chiefs under 11.5
The Chiefs have narrowly cleared this number for two straight years, but we expect a bit of post-title regression in 2020.
Las Vegas Raiders under 7.5
The Raiders should be improved, but their division rivals improved more, leaving Las Vegas in a tough spot to hit eight wins.
Los Angeles Chargers over 7.5
The Chargers are better than they were a month ago due to stellar moves in free agency, but I'm still hesitant because of that O-line. We're leaning over, but not by much.
Los Angeles Rams under 8.5
The Rams somehow won nine games a year ago, but they got substantially worse this offseason and more moves are still possible. In a brutal division, don't expect a big leap from Jared Goff and Co.
Miami Dolphins over 6
Miami is much better on paper, but the schedule will be tougher this year, too. Still, the coaching staff should squeeze the most out of a rebuilt group.
Minnesota Vikings under 8.5
It's hard to drum up optimism for Minnesota after it gutted so many key starters from a year ago. Any regression from Kirk Cousins would kill the chance of an over.
New England Patriots under 9
The Patriots lost so many key pieces from 2019 that it's hard to know how low this number could go.
New Orleans Saints over 10.5
The Saints might actually be better than last year's 13-win group. If Drew Brees is healthy, this is an easy over.
New York Giants over 6
New York made key strides in patching up holes from a year ago via free agency. Daniel Jones needs to cut down the fumbling, though.
New York Jets under 6.5
Another year behind the Jets' awful O-line could break Sam Darnold for good. Under, under, under.
Philadelphia Eagles over 9.5
The Eagles should improve after an injury-ravaged 2019. But isn't that always the case with this group? We'll go over, but cautiously so.
Pittsburgh Steelers under 9
These aren't the Steelers of past seasons, and a 38-year-old Ben Roethlisberger likely won't change that. Expect more 2019 than 2018 in 2020.
San Francisco 49ers over 10.5
San Francisco is built like a dynasty, and its offense should be even better this year. Buy all the stock you can get.
Seattle Seahawks over 9.5
Every year, I fade the Seahawks. Every year, they win 10 games. I've learned my lesson.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers over 9
This isn't just about Tom Brady. The defense is due for serious positive regression once the offense cuts down its turnovers. Buy this number before it climbs.
Tennessee Titans over 8.5
Last year's deep run wasn't a fluke - it was a product of strong coaching and a well-built roster. Both still exist in Tennessee, so expect another strong season.
Washington Redskins under 5
The Redskins didn't do enough in free agency to justify a big leap from last year when they were among the worst teams in the NFL. Unless Burrow magically falls to No. 2, the draft haul won't be enough, either.
C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.